The Kansas City Royals (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 57-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-61 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-7, 4.77 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-10, 5.29 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games at home (+13.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 75% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 102 games (+9.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 60-46 against the Run Line (+5.84 Units / 4.06% ROI).
- 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 4.17% ROI
- 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -16.98% ROI
- 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 8.06% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-61 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -15.68% ROI).
- 27-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -45.3 Units / -40.76% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.43% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.2 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Alec Marsh has walked 13 of 101 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (220 Total Bases / 308 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .573 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (30-for-72) against Alec Marsh on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .343 — ninth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 55% (111/202) over the last 14 days — tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (101 Total Bases / 180 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (48-for-160) against Chris Flexen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.