The Kansas City Royals (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Royals are 57-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-61 ATS.

Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-7, 4.77 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-10, 5.29 ERA

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games at home (+13.50 Units / 96% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 75% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 102 games (+9.44 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 42% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 60-46 against the Run Line (+5.84 Units / 4.06% ROI).

• 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 4.17% ROI
• 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -16.98% ROI
• 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 8.06% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-61 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -15.68% ROI).

• 27-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -45.3 Units / -40.76% ROI
• 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.6% ROI
• 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.43% ROI

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.2 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2

Alec Marsh has walked 13 of 101 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (220 Total Bases / 308 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .573 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .417 (30-for-72) against Alec Marsh on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .343 — ninth Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 55% (111/202) over the last 14 days — tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (101 Total Bases / 180 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .300 (48-for-160) against Chris Flexen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

  
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