The Kansas City Royals (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 34-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-28 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-3, 3.34 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 1-0, 2.60 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+20.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+18.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+14.70 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+19.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.39 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.04 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 36-19 against the Run Line (+13.79 Units / 17.9% ROI).
- 34-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 22.2% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 25-28 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .550 (11 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .098 (4 Total Bases / 41 ABs) over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .373 — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (69 Total Bases / 268 ABs) on the road since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .073 (3-for-41) against Cole Ragans over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (51/295) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Mason Miller has the longest active streak at 19.2.
Simeon Woods Richardson has not struck out a hitter in his last 30 PAs against a RHH dating back to May 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (28/163) against Simeon Woods Richardson on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.