The Kansas City Royals (+225) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Royals vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 6-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 15-11 ATS.

Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Royals vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Edward Olivares has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.05 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 42% ROI)

Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 9-17 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -34.51% ROI).

• 6-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -44.93% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -4.84% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.24% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 15-11 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 14.49% ROI).

• 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.73% ROI
• 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -14.76% ROI
• 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 7.01% ROI

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (13/104) against Jordan Lyles this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (34/214) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/150) against Jordan Lyles in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (53/121) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 42% (13 SO in 31 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (34/91) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article