The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 63-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-81 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Heasley | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 away games (+12.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 78-77 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -5.51% ROI).
- 63-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -9.66% ROI
- 75-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 74-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -5.28% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-81 against the Run Line (-19.8 Units / -10.17% ROI).
- 62-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -5.35% ROI
- 59-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.8 Units / -18.66% ROI
- 83-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.2 Units / 11.35% ROI
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .103 (4-for-39) against Jon Heasley — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Jon Heasley — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (228/418) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 16% (26/165) against Jon Heasley when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (46/255) against Eduardo Rodriguez on non-fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (44 GB hits out of 119 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 0 Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 399.8