The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 63-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-79 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Zack Greinke | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 76-77 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -6.61% ROI).
- 63-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -8.55% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -6.53% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-79 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -9.24% ROI).
- 60-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 59-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -17.52% ROI
- 81-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.2 Units / 10.29% ROI
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has struck out just 10% (21/215) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has averaged 71.5 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (117/356) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .468 (37-for-79) against Zack Greinke when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .334 — second Percentile.
Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game