The Kansas City Royals (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Royals are 48-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 43-45 ATS.
Royals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 11-2, 2.16 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-5, 4.80 ERA
Royals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 games (+5.14 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 50-40 against the Run Line (+1.54 Units / 1.24% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 4.94% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.75 Units / -17.13% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.2 Units / 8.35% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 43-45 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 31-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.59% ROI
Rockies vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Kyle Isbel (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Seth Lugo (KC) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (511/1,068) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .220 (13-for-59) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (26/136) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .725 (29 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .425 (17-for-40) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
11 of Austin Gomber’s 34 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.