The Kansas City Royals (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Royals are 48-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 42-45 ATS.

Royals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 5-6, 3.35 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-3, 7.95 ERA

Royals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+6.34 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 66 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 50-39 against the Run Line (+2.74 Units / 2.23% ROI).

• 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.72% ROI
• 37-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -16.23% ROI
• 48-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 7.42% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 42-45 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -11.82% ROI).

• 30-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -10.32% ROI
• 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.39% ROI
• 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.7% ROI

Rockies vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .181 (27-for-149) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (14 GB hits out of 32 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 30% (126 SO in 423 PAs) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .276 (40-for-145) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 10th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (118 Total Bases / 184 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .408 (75-for-184) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (59/179) against Kyle Freeland on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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