The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Royals are 33-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-29 ATS.

Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.72 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-4, 5.93 ERA

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+22.20 Units / 111% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+18.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 47% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 82% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.39 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 79% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 34-18 against the Run Line (+13.79 Units / 19.3% ROI).

• 33-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.45 Units / 24.92% ROI
• 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -17.29% ROI
• 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 8.72% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-29 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -10.12% ROI).

• 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -15.46% ROI
• 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.53% ROI
• 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -8.35% ROI

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 40% of the time (805/2,016) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has walked 37 of 351 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Brady Singer has walked 2 of 90 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 42% of the time (338/805) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (48/155) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (51 Total Bases / 85 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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