The Kansas City Royals (+165) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-200) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 49-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 56-61 ATS.

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 50 of his last 79 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 67 games (+19.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -12.25% ROI).

• 49-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -8.25% ROI
• 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -4.36% ROI
• 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -4.52% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-61 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.79% ROI).

• 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -5.91% ROI
• 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -7.96% ROI
• 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI

Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (207 Total Bases / 313 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .439 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.084 (364 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .765 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (225/1,341) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/118) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .028 (1-for-36) against Drew Rasmussen — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .083 (36 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .310 (60 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .225 (25-for-111) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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