The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Royals are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 2-1 ATS.

Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 67% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 59% ROI)
• James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)
• Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-2 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -44.68% ROI).

• 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -33.33% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 40% ROI).

• 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 12.37% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 24.24% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -39.39% ROI

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (37/157) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (623/1,296) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha threw his changeup 36% of the time (165/460) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .253 (229 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 96th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (138/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Dean Kremer located 56% of his pitches away (407/732) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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