The Kansas City Royals (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Royals are 84-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 87-71 ATS.

Royals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 13-8, 3.31 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 6-13, 5.60 ERA

Royals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+19.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 away games (+17.80 Units / 81% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 55% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 154 games (+7.15 Units / 3% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 150 games (+7.80 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 86-72 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 1.67% ROI).

• 84-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 1.86% ROI
• 68-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -14% ROI
• 84-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 4.89% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 87-71 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 1.85% ROI).

• 69-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -1.39% ROI
• 72-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.48% ROI
• 78-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.17% ROI

Nationals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (342/730) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (678/1,428) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .187 (43-for-230) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .130 (15 GB hits out of 115 GBs) against Michael Wacha with the shift since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .313 (242-for-774) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .308 (160-for-519) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .660 (354 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .484 — second Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .838 (741 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — first Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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