The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Saturday, March 2, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.

This season, the Royals are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 2-5 ATS.

Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.59 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 21.87% ROI).

• 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 51.32% ROI
• 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -60.38% ROI
• 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 50.43% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 2-5 against the Run Line (-4.28 Units / -45.29% ROI).

• 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.44 Units / -43.32% ROI
• 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 22.22% ROI
• 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.53 Units / -32.65% ROI

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th-worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth-best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (6/45) against Seth Lugo in late innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Seth Lugo threw his curveball 38% of the time (482/1,255) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Seth Lugo threw his curveball 41% of the time (196/474) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Bieber located his fastball away 64% of the time (436/686) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber located 71% of his pitches away (688/967) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (80/128) against Shane Bieber on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (1,159/1,954) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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