The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Royals are 75-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 65-68 ATS.

Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 11-6, 3.34 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 10-6, 3.48 ERA

Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 47 games (+19.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 48 games (+23.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+20.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+12.24 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games at home (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 60 games at home (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-58 against the Run Line (+8.64 Units / 4.83% ROI).

• 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 7.75% ROI
• 61-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -8.58% ROI
• 67-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.38% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 65-68 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.78% ROI).

• 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.22 Units / 4.86% ROI
• 64-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.1% ROI
• 62-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -5.76% ROI

Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .183 (35-for-191) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 92nd Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (898/1,878) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (611/1,280) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .309 (59 Total Bases / 191 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 87th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .397 (27-for-68) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 15th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 32% (71 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (132/374) against Tanner Bibee this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .440 (91 Total Bases / 207 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 17th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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