The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Royals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 5-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-10 ATS.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 8-15 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -34.96% ROI).
- 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -47.52% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 3.13% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -12.8% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 14-10 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 7.67% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 24.07% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 3.75% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -11.26% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 76% (45/59) against Brady Singer on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (47/67) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 79% (15/19) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 79% (26/33) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (9/55) against Ryne Nelson with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of just .176 (51 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 97th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson’s has 9 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.