The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Royals are 49-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-44 ATS.
Royals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 6-6, 4.59 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-3, 3.97 ERA
Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+5.09 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 51-41 against the Run Line (+1.49 Units / 1.18% ROI).
- 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 38-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -16.81% ROI
- 50-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 8.07% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-44 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -9.94% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.07% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (812/1,681) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (525/1,083) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (189/385) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .242 (351 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 37% (53 SO in 144 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (122 Total Bases / 404 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 96th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 55% (62 SO in 112 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (115 SO in 196 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.