Royals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 29
Royals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 29

The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Royals are 85-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 74-85 ATS.

Royals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 8-9, 4.66 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-9, 4.14 ERA

Royals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 43 games (+24.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+19.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 157 games (+7.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 145 games (+38.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 88-73 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 1.97% ROI).

  • 85-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 1.33% ROI
  • 69-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.25 Units / -14.42% ROI
  • 86-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 5.31% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 74-85 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -7.74% ROI).

  • 88-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -7.46% ROI
  • 58-95 when betting on the total runs Over for -45.45 Units / -26.18% ROI
  • 95-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +31 Units / 17.57% ROI

Braves vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Marcell Ozuna (ATL)
0.5 +333 0.5 -450

Matt Olson (ATL)
0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Jorge Soler (ATL)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Salvador Perez (KC)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Braves vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Marcell Ozuna (ATL)
0.5 -275 0.5 +195

Yuli Gurriel (KC)
0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Jorge Soler (ATL)
0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Maikel Garcia (KC)
0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Ramon Laureano (ATL)
0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Braves vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Salvador Perez (KC)
0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Marcell Ozuna (ATL)
0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Matt Olson (ATL)
0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Jorge Soler (ATL)
0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Braves vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Alec Marsh (KC)
4.5 -120 4.5 -105

Charlie Morton (ATL)
5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Alec Marsh has walked 41 of 356 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (246 Total Bases / 351 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .572 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 5 of 126 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 57% (176/308) of the time this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 79 of 796 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (233/612) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 54 of 521 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (667/1,285) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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