The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Royals are 85-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 74-85 ATS.
Royals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 8-9, 4.66 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-9, 4.14 ERA
Royals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 43 games (+24.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+19.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 157 games (+7.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 145 games (+38.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 88-73 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 1.97% ROI).
- 85-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 1.33% ROI
- 69-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.25 Units / -14.42% ROI
- 86-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 5.31% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 74-85 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -7.74% ROI).
- 88-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -7.46% ROI
- 58-95 when betting on the total runs Over for -45.45 Units / -26.18% ROI
- 95-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +31 Units / 17.57% ROI
Braves vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) |
0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yuli Gurriel (KC) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) |
0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) |
0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) |
4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) |
5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has walked 41 of 356 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (246 Total Bases / 351 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .572 — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has walked 5 of 126 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 57% (176/308) of the time this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 79 of 796 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (233/612) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 54 of 521 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (667/1,285) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.