The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Royals are 75-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 68-67 ATS.

Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 10-8, 3.28 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 6-9, 4.40 ERA

Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+22.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+9.99 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 118 games (+20.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+15.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-60 against the Run Line (+6.39 Units / 3.48% ROI).

• 75-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 5.87% ROI
• 63-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -7.78% ROI
• 68-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.27% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 68-67 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.6% ROI).

• 73-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -3.45% ROI
• 53-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.1 Units / -21.76% ROI
• 78-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.35 Units / 12.93% ROI

Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .538 (14 GB hits out of 26 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (373/1,096) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has walked 8 of 45 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .426 (20 GB hits out of 47 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .276 (62-for-225) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 11th Percentile.

The last hit on a Yusei Kikuchi breaking pitch was August 19th. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — tied with Aaron Ashby for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents are hitting .434 (33-for-76) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — third Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 46% (130/283) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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