The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Royals are 75-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 68-66 ATS.

Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 14-8, 3.19 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-6, 3.26 ERA

Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+22.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 131 games (+8.99 Units / 5% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 117 games (+19.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+16.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+12.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-60 against the Run Line (+5.39 Units / 2.96% ROI).

• 75-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 6.49% ROI
• 63-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -7.09% ROI
• 67-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -1.96% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 68-66 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.21% ROI).

• 72-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.01% ROI
• 53-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -31 Units / -21.17% ROI
• 77-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 12.35% ROI

Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo has walked 12 of 243 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3213.8 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 2531.1 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .600 (9-for-15) against Seth Lugo versus the bottom of the order in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 22% of the time (232/1,057) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .290 (199 Total Bases / 687 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (231/386) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .566 (764 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (885/2,124) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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