The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-200) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rockies are 23-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 30-36 ATS.
Rockies vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 5-4, 3.59 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-4, 9.01 ERA
Rockies vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+18.00 Units / 112% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+13.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.79 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 33-33 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -7.9% ROI).
- 23-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -7.29% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.4% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-36 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -11.25% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 4.19% ROI
Twins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Louie Varland (MIN) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (55/298) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has not struck out any hitters in 22 PA’s against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of just .199 (31 Total Bases / 156 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (402/618) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Louie Varland in the 2023 season was 412.5 feet — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Louie Varland has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season (192 balls in play) — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Louie Varland allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH (192 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — seventh Percentile.