Rockies vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 12
Rockies vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 12

The Colorado Rockies (+225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-275) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Rockies are 54-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 78-68 ATS.

Rockies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 2-10, 4.95 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 16-4, 2.55 ERA

Rockies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+15.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trey Sweeney has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.20 Units / 324% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+16.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 110 games (+6.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 59 games (+20.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 71-75 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -9.56% ROI).

  • 54-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -5.74% ROI
  • 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -6.4% ROI
  • 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.47% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 78-68 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.66% ROI).

  • 75-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.94% ROI
  • 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -9.7% ROI

Tigers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Trey Sweeney (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Tigers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 8.5 +100 8.5 -130
Ryan Feltner (COL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -160

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner since last season is 419.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 398.5

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 422.1 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 397.7

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 10% (54/542) against Ryan Feltner since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 16% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (15/44) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (584 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .152 (23 Total Bases / 151 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .326 (398 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .489 — 100th Percentile.

43% of Tarik Skubal’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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