The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-185) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Rockies are 32-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-40 ATS.

Rockies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-3, 6.63 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 4-6, 4.21 ERA

Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rockies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 56 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 44-48 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -12.66% ROI).

• 32-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -9.87% ROI
• 45-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -4.4% ROI
• 45-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -4.58% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 52-40 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 6.49% ROI).

• 44-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -3.05% ROI
• 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -15.49% ROI
• 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 5.7% ROI

Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (119 Total Bases / 187 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 86 of Kyle Freeland’s 447 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .406 (76-for-187) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 23% (111/480) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (68/220) against Frankie Montas with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OBP of .361 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 11th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
Read Full Article