Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 31
Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 31

The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-1 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Austin Nola 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Elias Diaz 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Austin Nola 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Elias Diaz 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Austin Nola 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Elias Diaz 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
Nick Martinez 4.5 -105 4.5 -135

  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 163 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 82 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games at home (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 83.33% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -100% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -100% ROI

Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — fourth Percentile.

Kyle Freeland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (279/503) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

Hitters chased just 49 of Kyle Freeland’s 266 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

27 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Martinez allowed a slugging percentage of .780 (32 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away in 2022 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .349 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 22% (94/431) against Nick Martinez in 2022 — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — sixth Percentile.

Nick Martinez has a first-pitch strike rate of 66% (301/459) since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — 95th Percentile.

  
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