The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 12-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -125 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -27.86% ROI).
- 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -32.6% ROI
- 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -37.25% ROI
- 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 29.91% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 12-12 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -2.31% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 8.56% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 42 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from German Marquez. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (61/100) against German Marquez on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .469 (330 Total Bases / 704 ABs) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (99 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 107 of 880 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 44 of 273 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell walked 21 of 127 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.