The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 40-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-52 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 2-7, 4.85 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 3-6, 4.84 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 41 games (+36.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+15.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+37.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 away games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 55-55 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -8.89% ROI).
- 40-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -8.06% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-52 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 5.86% ROI).
- 59-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.5% ROI
- 59-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 50-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -12.7% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (37 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (345 Total Bases / 545 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .436 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (240 Total Bases / 375 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (20-for-48) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .321 (92-for-287) against Randy Vasquez this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (55/176) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (101/354) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (171/919) against Randy Vasquez since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.