Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2
Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2

The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 1-2 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Nola 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Austin Nola 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Cron 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Austin Nola 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 165 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 84 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 88 games at home (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 29.41% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 83.33% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 27.14% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -31.75% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -31.25% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -47.76% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 27.14% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -31.75% ROI

Opponents had a line drive rate of 42% (21/50) versus Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (188 Total Bases / 352 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .406 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .397 (31-for-78) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .273 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (46/279) against Austin Gomber on breaking pitches since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (41/69) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts in 2022 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (61/107) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts since the 2021 season — 15th highest among among 146 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.

  
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