Rockies vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 21
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 21

The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-165) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Rockies are 47-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-56 ATS.

Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-4, 7.01 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 6-7, 4.45 ERA

Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+23.45 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games at home (+19.50 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 90 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 118 games (+9.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 118 games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 65-61 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -5.34% ROI).

  • 47-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.77% ROI
  • 62-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • 61-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -5.26% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 70-56 against the Run Line (+5.23 Units / 3.16% ROI).

  • 56-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.87% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.07 Units / -7.92% ROI

Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia (WAS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Alex Call (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
James Wood (WAS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tanner Gordon (COL) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
Mitchell Parker (WAS) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100

Tanner Gordon has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (65/136) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 92nd Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 68% (491/720) when ahead in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 97th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 6th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 65% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (349/534) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (11/52) against Mitchell Parker this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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