Rockies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 12
Rockies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 12

The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-250) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Rockies are 33-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 45-47 ATS.

Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-1, 7.11 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 5-3, 3.47 ERA

Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 58 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+17.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 45-49 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -12.54% ROI).

  • 33-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.35% ROI
  • 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -6.58% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 45-47 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.75% ROI).

  • 47-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.42% ROI
  • 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -11.18% ROI

Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
DJ Stewart (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Francisco Alvarez (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Francisco Alvarez (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tanner Gordon (COL) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120
Sean Manaea (NYM) 6.5 +105 6.5 -135

Tanner Gordon has a strike rate of 80% (62/78) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Tanner Gordon had a strike rate of 80% (62/78) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 63% of Tanner Gordon’s pitches (49/78) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Tanner Gordon has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has walked 19 of 153 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .048 (1 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 96th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 65.1.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (8 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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