The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-160) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rockies are 7-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 10-22 ATS.
Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 2-1, 4.77 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-1, 5.18 ERA
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+3.14 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 13-17 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -19.55% ROI).
- 7-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -39.52% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -14.13% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 5.48% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 10-22 against the Run Line (-16.26 Units / -39.89% ROI).
- 8-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -47.87% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -9.93% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/71) against Peter Lambert with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season — tied for 11th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Peter Lambert has allowed an OPS of .939 (31 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 14th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 13th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 50 of 327 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 72 of 501 batters (14%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (124/185) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (41/247) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.