The Colorado Rockies (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 47-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-44 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 65 games (+28.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 48 of his last 68 games (+16.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 46 of his last 65 games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 97 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 57 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 66% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 58-50 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 47-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.61% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-44 against the Run Line (+12.9 Units / 9.55% ROI).
- 46-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.48% ROI
German Marquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .436 (34-for-78) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (54 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — sixth Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 76 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
German Marquez has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (651/1,250) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
27 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
27 of Madison Bumgarner’s 55 breaking pitch strikeouts (49%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
58 of Madison Bumgarner’s 138 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (50/349) against Madison Bumgarner this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.