Rockies vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2

The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Rockies are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 3-1 ATS.

Rockies vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-1, 38.59 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 11 away games (+11.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -60.36% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -48% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.04% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.75% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 3-1 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 18.32% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.85% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI

Cubs vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Doyle 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
Suzuki 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Morel 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Montero 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Blackmon 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Opponents are hitting .411 (74-for-180) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .437 (31-for-71) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (117 Total Bases / 180 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (585/1,286) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Javier Assad threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (170/319) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (26/135) against Javier Assad on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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