Rockies vs. Cardinals Odds
| Rockies Odds | +180 |
| Cardinals Odds | -220 |
| Over/Under | 8 (+100/-120) |
| Time | 1:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
The Colorado Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela is an abysmal starting pitcher, and on Thursday afternoon he will take on Adam Wainwright and the St. Louis Cardinals. Wainwright has been extremely fortunate this season as his xERA is over a point higher than his ERA (4.30 vs. 3.27), but he has been serviceable because of his ability to limit hard contact. He ranks in the 58th percentile in Hard-Hit Rate and the 53rd percentile in Average Exit Velocity.
Senzatela is far worse. He ranks in the 21st percentile in Hard-Hit Rate and the 14th percentile in Average Exit Velocity. He has been lucky with a 4.67 ERA because his xERA is a paltry 5.22. Yes, he is pitching predominantly in a hitters' ballpark, but this is not a viable excuse because his road ERA is 5.50 and his home ERA is 4.08.
St. Louis has also crushed right-handed pitching in August, so taking their team total over (opposed to an expensive moneyline) is the correct call in this battle.