Rice vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4
Rice vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

The Rice Owls (1-2) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (2-0) on Sep. 21 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Rice vs. Army Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Rice vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rice Player Prop Bets Today

  • Boden Groen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Connors has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Connors has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Bryson Daily has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Rice is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -100% ROI
  • Rice is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Rice is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Army is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rice is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

Rice is 6-15 (.286) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Rice is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .453

Rice is 1-7 (.091) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .221

Army is 2-9 (.167) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .496

Army is 1-6 (.083) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330

Army is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Army is 3-6 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Rice’s defense has allowed just 12.7 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 101 passing yards in 2 games (just 50.5 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

  
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