The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 60-94 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 77-77 ATS.
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 72-82 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -8.94% ROI).
- 60-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -11.01% ROI
- 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -3.43% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 77-77 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- 57-97 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.23% ROI
Christian Greene: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 428 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .775 (31 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .430 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (20-for-40) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 98.9 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .404 (190-for-470) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .304 (139-for-457) against Mitch Keller since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (48/142) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (613/1,088) since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.