The Cincinnati Reds (-125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 39-33 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 7-2, 2.99 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-4, 3.88 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+18.70 Units / 134% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+11.40 Units / 88% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 40-32 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 4.85% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 4.61% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 39-33 against the Run Line (+3.76 Units / 4% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.72 Units / -3.45% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Stuart Fairchild (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 55% (397/729) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .378 (323 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (235/729) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (128/301) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.