The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-190) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 38-33 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-0, 2.33 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-0, 2.43 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.70 Units / 152% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 38 games (+17.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+14.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+12.40 Units / 103% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 40-31 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.35% ROI).

• 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.51% ROI
• 31-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -13.02% ROI
• 37-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 3.4% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 38-33 against the Run Line (+2.61 Units / 2.81% ROI).

• 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -6.03% ROI
• 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.42% ROI
• 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.72 Units / -4.78% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 6% of batters they faced (5/80 PA’s) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (7/27) against Carson Spiers in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (10/33) against Carson Spiers this season — 12th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.

Carson Spiers has a strike rate of 72% (110/153) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 5th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (46 SO in 130 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (2-for-18) against Paul Skenes when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 5th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 91st Percentile.

Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .278 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .640 — 94th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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