The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-155) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 62-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 71-55 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 9-5, 4.63 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 7-2, 2.30 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 40 games (+33.80 Units / 85% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+23.90 Units / 141% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+12.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 87 games (+18.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games at home (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 games (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 71-56 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 5.14% ROI).

• 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -3.61% ROI
• 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -7.14% ROI
• 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.4% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 71-55 against the Run Line (+13.46 Units / 8.24% ROI).

• 59-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.15% ROI
• 59-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.42% ROI
• 63-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -0.89% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .401 (411 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 59% (783/1,323) in two strike counts since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 58% (318/546) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (240/546) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 101 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (37/72) this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.

Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (483/706) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (55 Total Bases / 184 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 93rd Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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