The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 46-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 60-57 ATS.
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Greg Allen | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Greg Allen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Greg Allen | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Dunn | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Beede | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.87% ROI).
- 46-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-57 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 46-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -7.99% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.23% ROI
Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Dunn has allowed an OPS of 1.225 (40 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .708 — first Percentile.
Justin Dunn has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (28 Total Bases / 35 ABs) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/29) against Justin Dunn this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Justin Dunn has an ERA of 8.64 (8.1 IP)this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — sixth Percentile.
Tyler Beede: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (9/60) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 14% (30 SO in 216 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Tyler Beede has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (117/216) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — eighth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 29% of Tyler Beede’s breaking pitches (60/205) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.