The Cincinnati Reds (-120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 46-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 59-57 ATS.
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games at home (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-61 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -8.23% ROI).
- 46-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.31% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -6.27% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 59-57 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 45-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -8.85% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.54% ROI
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (21/154) against Graham Ashcraft this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 8% (7 SO in 83 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (120/706) against Graham Ashcraft this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .323 (41-for-127) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .352 (45-for-128) against Bryse Wilson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (80 Total Bases / 128 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has not struck out a hitter in his last 38 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 26th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (15/131) against Bryse Wilson when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.