The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 7-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-9 ATS.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 71.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 59% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.70 Units / 79% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 78% ROI)

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 45% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 21.12% ROI).

• 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -27.96% ROI
• 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.32% ROI
• 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -9.36% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 7.65% ROI).

• 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 47.86% ROI
• 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -16.04% ROI
• 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 9.63% ROI

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .483 (28-for-58) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 572 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (110/314) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 90 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (11/37) against Vince Velasquez this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (8/33) against Vince Velasquez — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (18/61) against Vince Velasquez this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

  
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