The Cincinnati Reds (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Reds are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 14-17 ATS.

Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 2-0, 2.21 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 1-2, 3.96 ERA

Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+18.40 Units / 97% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 79% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.20 Units / 68% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI).

• 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.32% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 5.02% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -15.28% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-17 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -3.47% ROI).

• 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -12.87% ROI
• 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.99% ROI
• 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -11.08% ROI

Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (177/580) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (314/580) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has had second base stolen on him 7 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (20/65) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 20 of Matt Waldron’s 132 off-speed pitches out of the zone (15%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (16-for-42) against Matt Waldron at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (24/84) against Matt Waldron on sliders this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 11% (5/47) against Matt Waldron on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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