The Cincinnati Reds (+) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+) on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Reds are 47-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 55-43 ATS.

Reds vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-3, 3.38 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-8, 3.99 ERA

Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.60 Units / 65% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 82 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+8.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 90 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 90 games (+9.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 55-43 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 6.54% ROI).

• 47-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -4.6% ROI
• 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.94% ROI
• 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 1.26% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 55-43 against the Run Line (+5.73 Units / 4.49% ROI).

• 45-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.95% ROI
• 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.22% ROI
• 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.12 Units / -3.8% ROI

Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .391 (358 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of 1.801 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .747 — first Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of just .330 (82 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 99th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (168/385) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (89/275) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (239/436) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (67/208) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .450 (27-for-60) against MacKenzie Gore when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .324 — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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