The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-155) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Reds are 68-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 72-69 ATS.

Reds vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Jakob Junis 4-0, 3.16 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 7-9, 4.26 ERA

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 away games (+28.50 Units / 238% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+22.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games at home (+20.75 Units / 99% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+14.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+14.10 Units / 46% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+13.20 Units / 90% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 127 games (+7.55 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 away games (+5.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+18.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 93 games (+15.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 79-63 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 4.8% ROI).

• 68-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -5% ROI
• 67-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -4.84% ROI
• 67-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -4.53% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 72-69 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.08% ROI).

• 77-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 3.03% ROI
• 70-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -1.26% ROI
• 65-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -7.28% ROI

Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

30 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season — most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (134/179) this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .384 (33-for-86) against Jakob Junis on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (385/545) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (385/683) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,139/1,938) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (402/826) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,446/2,443) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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