The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-185) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Reds are 68-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 71-69 ATS.

Reds vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Fernando Cruz 3-8, 4.94 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 11-5, 3.37 ERA

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 44 games (+21.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+15.10 Units / 51% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+11.80 Units / 86% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 123 games (+14.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 126 games (+9.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 away games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+17.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 92 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 79-62 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 5.61% ROI).

• 68-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -4.44% ROI
• 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -5.52% ROI
• 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -3.88% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 71-69 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -0.78% ROI).

• 76-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.48% ROI
• 69-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -1.92% ROI
• 65-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -6.63% ROI

Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (74/170) against Fernando Cruz this season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (74/170) against Fernando Cruz this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 61% (90 SO in 147 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (218/532) against Fernando Cruz since last season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has walked 26 of 243 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (41-for-215) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 16 of 120 batters (13%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 24 of 243 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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