The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 78-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 64-84 ATS.
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Brandon Williamson | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 91-59 against the Run Line (+22.25 Units / 11.13% ROI).
- 78-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.45 Units / 9.4% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -7.6% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.18% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 64-84 against the Run Line (-29.55 Units / -15.78% ROI).
- 68-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.3 Units / -16.01% ROI
- 59-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.65 Units / -19.39% ROI
- 82-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.15 Units / 10.55% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (100/303) against Brandon Williamson with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (153/356) when behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 39% of the time (465/1,182) in non-two strike counts this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 67 opportunities (16%) this season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.