Reds vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 8

The Cincinnati Reds (+240) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-300) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 44-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-49 ATS.

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 away games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 games at home (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games at home (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+17.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 109 games (+18.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+13.77 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-55 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.51% ROI).

  • 44-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -5.89% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -8.17% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-49 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 10.5% ROI).

  • 70-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.75 Units / 11.7% ROI
  • 57-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 6.09% ROI
  • 45-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -14.36% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (56/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (26/51) against Chris Bassitt on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (13/18) against Chris Bassitt — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% (167/337) against Chris Bassitt this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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