The Cincinnati Reds (+170) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-200) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Reds vs Marlins Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 42-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 45-59 ATS.

Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 63.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jesus Aguilar has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 42% ROI)

Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+16.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 77 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 50-53 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -6.63% ROI).

• 42-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -7.95% ROI
• 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.61% ROI
• 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -10.25% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 45-59 against the Run Line (-21.85 Units / -15.89% ROI).

• 47-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -12.11% ROI
• 50-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -4.07% ROI
• 50-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.98% ROI

Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Minor has walked 7 of 47 batters (15%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (119 Total Bases / 208 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.

Mike Minor has walked 6 of 39 right-handed batters (15%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (5/26) against Mike Minor — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (24/158) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (83/140) against Sandy Alcantara in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .163 (42-for-258) against Sandy Alcantara’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 92nd Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has allowed a slugging percentage of just .301 (158 Total Bases / 525 ABs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 95th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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