The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Reds are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-11 ATS.

Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 4.86 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 2.66 ERA

Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
• Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.56% ROI).

• 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.05% ROI
• 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 42.49% ROI
• 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -52.71% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 6-11 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -28.79% ROI).

• 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -23.36% ROI
• 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -26.08% ROI
• 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 17.72% ROI

Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown inside pitches 58% of the time (40/69) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has had second base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (193/557) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 45% (19/42) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (31/53) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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