The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Reds are 17-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 19-22 ATS.

Reds vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-3, 3.56 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 3-1, 3.23 ERA

Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 66% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 away games (+23.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-19 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.88% ROI).

• 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -16.38% ROI
• 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -7.64% ROI
• 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.23% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 19-22 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -8.93% ROI).

• 18-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -19.18% ROI
• 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -10.76% ROI
• 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 2.08% ROI

Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (94/374) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 61% of Frankie Montas’ fastballs (146/240) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (346/619) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has thrown his fastball for a strike 75% (180/240) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 99th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (137/197) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (71/146) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (98/197) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .470 (31 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — 10th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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