Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Reds are 17-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-22 ATS.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 1-2, 3.40 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-2, 4.16 ERA

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 32 games (+17.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+14.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 away games (+21.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 away games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 22-19 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 2.83% ROI).

  • 17-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -19.78% ROI
  • 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.85% ROI
  • 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.61% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-22 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.07% ROI).

  • 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -13.84% ROI
  • 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 5.82% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Ford (CIN) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mike Ford (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Ford (CIN) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Greene (CIN) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Slade Cecconi (ARI) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .550 (11 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Hunter Greene with runners on base this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — second Percentile.

Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 36% (26 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 37% (179 SO in 486 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (5/59) against Slade Cecconi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to April 21st — the longest active streak is 6.

Slade Cecconi has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 7 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 10% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .171 (13-for-76) against Slade Cecconi this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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